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firemansword Good leaders meeting. Quick straw poll. Men's events better on Monday or Friday? #Cvmsouth

Discussions

Is 31% the best that the Republicans can hope to achieve in a straw poll? by Sky Q: It's pretty pathetic when the Iowa straw poll has 10,000 less people than expected for a turn out, and Guliani, McCain, and Thompson get such paltry votes--far LESS than Romney. What are the chances that the GOP will have someone worthy of nomination in 2008?

A: While I do not think Romney will ultimately be the Republican nominee, 31% in a field of 7 candidates (am not counting the three that did not seriously contest the straw poll) is a pretty good result. Obviously the decline from the 1999 straw poll should be a warning sign to Republicans about how much influence they have lost in the Midwest (if the results from the 2006 election were not warning enough). There are several states which went Republican or were close in 2004 that will probably go solidly Democrat this time around unless the Republican nominee can distance himself from Bush and Stephens.

Ron Paul for 2012 - How likely is it, now that he has received 40% of the votes in a straw poll? by Zero Q: I have watched the entirety of the GOP Debate @ New Hampshire, and I (like many others) was very impressed with Dr. Paul's thorough analysis and insight upon getting this nation back on track. A straw poll has shown that 40% support Ron Paul. Does he have a chance to catch up to Romney (the front-runner) and beat him? What is your opinion of Ron Paul? How likely is he to win against President Obama? Thank you for your input!

A: Still not very likely, I'm afraid. His "Hands Off" philosophy of government is still pretty much at odds with the majority of Republicans, who seem to desire a more activist conservatism. I like what he says in theory; but I suspect it would be particularly difficult to implement in the current political climate.

How clever is Bachmann to have Randy Travis at her straw poll? by Hale Q: Randy was her main draw for Iowa voters (pollers?) so isn't Randy the winner of the Iowa straw poll contest? Heck, I can't stand Bachmann's rigid ideological stands, but even I would have signed up if I was being paid to see Randy Travis. Will Randy be her guy or will she get another band for the next contest? Who?

A: Randy Travis ?? YEEEEEEEEEEE HAAAAAAAWWWWWW That Michelle must be just like me. I'm a votin fer her.

Why does the AOL straw poll showing Barack Obama getting his butt kicked? by Matthew R Q: All the media tells is that Obama has a lead. But everytime I look at this straw poll on AOL is only shows Obama with 28% of the vote. Which should I believe? Is there a media conspiracy or is AOL wrong?

A: While the AOL poll is unscientific, in this case I would trust it just as much as (if not more than) the media polls. This race is being portrayed as a referendum on racism in America. If anyone says they are voting against Obama, others will wonder if it's for racial reasons. When a pollster asks someone who they are voting for, there is a certain segment of society (I don't know how large) that will lie and say they are voting for Obama, just because they don't want to be perceived as racist. This will be especially true if the pollster is African American. So I believe that the media polls will be skewed toward Obama. Now, let's look at the AOL poll. It's anonymous. People can vote for who they want in this poll without worrying about what the pollster will think of them. I admit that 28% seems low to me. This may have to do with other biases, such as white collar workers having access to computers at work are more likely to vote Republican. So, to answer your question. I think they are both wrong. The truth lies somewhere in the middle.

how is it possible that "frontrunner" rudy g has yet to win a straw poll anywhere across america? by ashley robinson Q: meanwhile ron paul keeps clicking away winning straw poll after straw poll. rudy giuliani who is suppose to be the conservative frontrunner is *pro war *anti guns *pro abortion *pro gay rights does he have any more stances that i am unaware of that can make him conservative. so far, every one of those stances are historically a democratic point of view. even the war position, when you look at korea and vietnam, the democrats started the wars while the republicans were elected to end them. how is rudy so far ahead in the national polls, yet is still waiting for his first straw poll victory. meanwhile ron paul keeps winning straw poll after straw poll and you can't hear about it unless you turn on the internet.

A: Don't worry. Giuliani is a joke, he won't win. I don't think Ron will either.

How are you analyzing the ames straw poll? by Q: Who do you think are top three at the moment and in what order? How accurate is the ames straw poll and what needs to be taken into account (such as Bachmann being from the state and Romney not running)? Or do you think that the results are basically useless since there were so few results, so many factors making it different from the actual elections, and such a small group of voters all from one area.

A: Not accurate at all! Ron Paul Romney "Prick" Perry Romney & "Prick" are both dou#*e bags!

How big of a deal is a straw poll? by Michael M Q: Ron Paul won the straw poll at Republican Leadership Conference. I think straw polls are meaningless, and polls by state are the ones that really count.

A: I place no stock in them. They are meaningless to me. The only poll that matters to me is the voting done on election days.

what is a straw poll and why is it important? by George Wright Q: I can't figure out what exactly a straw poll is and why it's such a big deal.

A: i thought a straw poll is like when you have a hand full of straws, and they have all differnet sizes but you dont know that until you pick the straws.... well other people will pick from your hand.. to see who has the shortest straw.. and the one who has the shortest straw has to go first.. or lost... etc... or is that pulling straws?! edit: straw poll: A straw poll or straw vote is a vote with nonbinding results. Straw polls provide important interactive dialogue among movements within large groups, reflecting trends like organization and motivation.[1][2] In meetings subject to rules of order, impromptu straw polls often are taken to see if there is enough support for an idea to devote more meeting time to it, and (when not a secret ballot) for the attendees to see who is on which side of a question. However, Robert's Rules of Order prohibits straw polls, calling them "meaningless and dilatory".[3] Among political bodies, straw polls often are scheduled for events at which many people interested in the polling question can be expected to vote. Sometimes polls conducted without ordinary voting controls in place (i.e., on an honor system, such as in online polls) are also called "straw polls". http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Straw_poll

What significance does the CPAC Straw Poll actually hold in the electoral process? by Roa Q: It was just realeased in the news that Ron Paul has won this event by a landslide, and headlines say he'll be the GOP's choice for president in 2012, however I can't find any information saying that the Straw Poll is actually how nominees are selected and the articles seem to just be making up sensationalist titles. So what exactly is the CPAC Straw Poll? What does it signify, how does it work, and what is it's impact on the American political system?

A: It's irrelevant. It only polls self-identified conservatives - those wonderful folks who still think GW Bush did a fine job. On the other hand, it's bad news for Romney, who has won several of these straw polls in the past. BTW, a "straw poll" means an opinion poll that has no nominating or elective powers.

Straw Poll? by Randy F Q: Have you folks, who watch polls, noticed that AOL's straw poll for Pres has the entire nation in red with McCain pulling 65 %? I don't give much credit to polls but when a question is directed to the entire population it would seem that Obama is in bad trouble and is going down day by day furthur and furthur into the tubes. 65 % would be more than a landslide defeat. That would be a thrashing...........Unless you think AOL is not giving fair results. REv Ricky your attitude to someone who has asked a question is bad. I'm not grasping for straws numb nuts. I ask had anyone else paid any attention to it. From now on do not answer anything I ask.

A: I have seen this too and it makes me excited as this is going to be a very dramatic election AOL is a big company and I don't know if they are that impartial but if its true then the Obama people are in big trouble as McCain has hardly campaigned and Obama about bust a gut fighting with Hilary..and then he had to buy of the Clifton's It will be up to the candidates gettinga good VEEP and Obama should stay away from flip floping so much.. McCain is doing great for a ol'white guy who is tied to George Walker Bush..the legacy factor..good luck everyone

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